NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated November 22, 2022
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Batchelor | 20 | 21 | 66.7% | 1 | 29.8 | 2 |
| 2 | Nick Boucher | 19 | 21 | 63.3% | 2 | 31.9 | 1 |
| 3 | Andrew Moeller | 18 | 19 | 56.2% | 3 | 27.9 | 3 |
| 4 | Matt Hogel | 16 | 21 | 53.3% | 4 | 25.7 | 5 |
| 5 | Steve Creaser | 14 | 20 | 45.2% | 6 | 25.3 | 6 |
| 5 | Karl Loiseau | 14 | 21 | 46.7% | 5 | 26.4 | 4 |
| 5 | Mike Thorne | 14 | 19 | 43.8% | 7 | 24.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Gavin Gray | 13 | 20 | 41.9% | 8 | 21.6 | 8 |
| 9 | Dan Ellenberger | 12 | 21 | 40.0% | 9 | 20.4 | 9 |
| 9 | Luke Phelan | 12 | 20 | 38.7% | 10 | 20.3 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 7 | 12.2 | @ DET | 0.81 |
| New York Giants | 7 | 9.3 | @ DAL | 0.24 |
| New England Patriots | 6 | 8.3 | @ MIN | 0.39 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 9 | 13.7 | GB | 0.72 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 11.8 | @ JAK | 0.66 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3 | 6.4 | BAL | 0.34 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 8 | 12.2 | NE | 0.61 |
| Washington Commanders | 6 | 8.6 | ATL | 0.61 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 7.1 | LAC | 0.39 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 10.2 | CIN | 0.45 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 8.8 | @ CLE | 0.61 |
| Detroit Lions | 4 | 6.7 | BUF | 0.19 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 10.8 | NO | 0.77 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 8.8 | @ ARI | 0.61 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 6.8 | TB | 0.39 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 7 | 12.6 | NYG | 0.76 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 6.7 | PIT | 0.59 |
| Carolina Panthers | 3 | 5.2 | DEN | 0.41 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8 | 13.6 | LAR | 0.88 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 5.1 | @ NYJ | 0.31 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 6.6 | @ SEA | 0.38 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | 9.8 | @ TEN | 0.55 |
| New Orleans Saints | 4 | 6.5 | @ SF | 0.23 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 5.3 | @ IND | 0.41 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| New York Jets | 6 | 9.3 | CHI | 0.69 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 5.2 | @ CAR | 0.59 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 5.9 | @ KC | 0.12 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 7 | 10.9 | HOU | 0.85 |
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 6.9 | @ PHI | 0.28 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 2.5 | @ MIA | 0.15 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 7 | 1 | 9 | -2 | 3 |
| New England Patriots | 6 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| New York Giants | 7 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 9 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 10 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 8 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 6 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 4 | 7 | -2 | 12 |
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Detroit Lions | 4 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3 | 16 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 8 | 7 | -2 | 10 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 21 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 7 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 14 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| Carolina Panthers | 3 | 23 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| New Orleans Saints | 4 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 22 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 20 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 13 | 6 | -3 | 11 |
| New York Jets | 6 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| Miami Dolphins | 7 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 26 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
Draft Results
